Journal of Ekonomics, Finance, and Management Studies
Vol. 7 No. 6 (2026): El-Mal: Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi & Bisnis Islam

Analisis Prediksi Financial Distress Menggunakan Model Altman Z-Score Modifikasi dengan Pendekatan Benchmarking pada PT Gudang Garam Tbk

Wilda Komala Viani (Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis, Universitas Dian Nuswantoro)
Ariarti Anomsari (Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis, Universitas Dian Nuswantoro)
Dwi Eko Waluyo (Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis, Universitas Dian Nuswantoro)
Yenny Ernitawati (Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis, Universitas Dian Nuswantoro)



Article Info

Publish Date
04 Jun 2026

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to evaluate PT Gudang Garam Tbk's financial situation and use the Modified Altman Z-Score model to forecast future financial difficulties. In addition, this study conducts a benchmarking analysis with peer companies in the tobacco industry listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) to determine the company’s relative position. Using financial statement data from 2019 to 2025, this study uses a quantitative descriptive methodology. To strengthen the analysis, a difference test was conducted using the Wilcoxon Signed Rank Test due to the non-normal distribution of the data. The results indicate that PT Gudang Garam Tbk consistently remains in the “healthy” category, with Z-Score values above the safe threshold (>2.6), suggesting no indication of financial distress. The difference test results show no significant difference between PT Gudang Garam Tbk and PT HM Sampoerna Tbk as well as PT Wismilak Inti Makmur Tbk, while a significant difference is found when compared to PT Indonesian Tobacco Tbk. These findings suggest that PT Gudang Garam Tbk maintains a relatively stable and competitive financial position within the tobacco industry.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

elmal

Publisher

Subject

Religion Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

El-Mal: Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi & Bisnis Islam mempublikasi hasil riset dan kajian terkini bidang ekonomi, keuangan, manajemen dan bisnis Islam. Mulai 2011, jurnal ini terbit tiga kali setahun setiap Maret, Juli dan November. Jurnal ini dikelola oleh Pusat Riset dan Kajian Strategis (PRKS) Masyarakat ...