Jurnal Ilmiah Manajemen Kesatuan
Vol. 14 No. 3 (2026): JIMKES Edisi Mei 2026

Determinants of Transfer Pricing Risk at the Operating Profit Margin Level: Evidence from Foreign Direct Investment Firms in Indonesia

Yulian Tri Darmawan (Institut Pertanian Bogor, Indonesia)
Noer Azam Achsani (Institut Pertanian Bogor, Indonesia)
Bayu Bandono (Otoritas Jasa Keungan, Indonesia)



Article Info

Publish Date
31 May 2026

Abstract

This study investigated the determinants of transfer pricing risk at the operating profit margin level among foreign direct investment companies. The research addresses whether multinational ownership structures and affiliated transaction types contribute differently to profitability deviations relative to comparable independent firms. Using panel data from 131 foreign-owned companies (318 firm-year observations) during 2020–2024, the study applies a random effects model with robust standard errors, complemented by FGLS and System GMM for robustness checks. The findings show that foreign ownership, intangible goods transactions, intercompany loan transactions, and leverage have positive and significant effects on transfer pricing risk, while business turnover has a negative effect. Tangible goods and service transactions, as well as the number of related entities, do not exhibit significant effects. The results indicate that transfer pricing risk is concentrated in transactions characterized by valuation discretion and financial structuring complexity. By employing operating profit margin-based comparability analysis as a measurable risk indicator, this study contributes empirical evidence to support risk-based tax supervision strategies and highlights high-risk transaction categories for more targeted transfer pricing audits.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jimkes

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences

Description

Jurnal Ilmiah Manajemen Kesatuan (JIMKES) dikelola dan diterbitkan oleh Lembaga Penelitian dan Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat (LPPM) Institut Bisnis dan Informatika Kesatuan bekerjasama dengan Fakultas Bisnis dan Fakultas Vokasional IBI ...