Management Science Research Journal
Vol. 5 No. 2 (2026): MAY 2026

Dynamic Correlations Between Gold, Oil, Bitcoin, and Global Equity Markets in the 2024–2026 Crisis Period: A Cross-Country Empirical Study

Mukhtar (Universitas Sultan Ageng Tirtayasa)



Article Info

Publish Date
31 May 2026

Abstract

This study investigates the correlation dynamics among gold prices, crude oil prices, Bitcoin, and stock market indices of ten selected countries (USA, China, India, Germany, Japan, Saudi Arabia, Indonesia, Brazil, Vietnam, and Russia) over a 27-month period from January 1, 2024, to March 31, 2026—a condensed era marked by trade wars, oil shocks, geopolitical conflicts, and digital asset evolution. Using daily closing prices and Pearson correlation analysis, we examine six hypotheses grounded in modern portfolio theory, safe-haven theory, and macroeconomic spillover frameworks. Descriptive statistics reveal that Bitcoin exhibits the highest volatility, while gold shows moderate positive skewness, and stock indices display mixed distributional characteristics. Correlation results indicate that Bitcoin is most strongly correlated with the US stock market, followed by Brazil and Germany, supporting the integration hypothesis. Gold shows weak positive correlations with most stock indices, consistent with its role as a weak hedge. Oil exhibits near-zero or negative correlations with equities, particularly in oil-importing nations. The gold-oil correlation is positive but weak, while Bitcoin-gold and Bitcoin-oil are negligible, suggesting decoupling during crises. These findings provide crucial implications for portfolio diversification, risk management, and policy formulation in an era of compounded global shocks. Keywords:Gold, oil, Bitcoin, stock markets, safe haven.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

msr

Publisher

Subject

Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences

Description

The Journal of Management Science Research (MSR) is an International Journal which has committed to publishing empirical and theoretical research articles, that have a high impact on the management field as a whole. The journal encourages new ideas or new perspectives on existing research. The ...