Al-Kharaj: Journal of Islamic Economic and Business
Vol. 8 No. 2 (2026): All articles in this issue include authors from 3 countries of origin (Indonesi

Technical Analysis of Sharia Stock Prices Using Moving Average and Relative Strength Index: Evidence from the Jakarta Islamic Index

Rahmat Ramadhan (Universitas Islam Negeri Sultan Maulana Hasanuddin Banten)
Efi Sarifudin (Universitas Islam Negeri Sultan Maulana Hasanuddin Banten)
Dede Sudirja (Universitas Islam Negeri Sultan Maulana Hasanuddin Banten)



Article Info

Publish Date
09 Jun 2026

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the influence of technical indicators on Sharia stock price movements in the Jakarta Islamic Index (JII). The research employs a quantitative approach using secondary data derived from historical stock prices of companies listed in the Jakarta Islamic Index. The sample consists of 10 Sharia-compliant companies, selected through purposive sampling, with a total of 141 observations during the period January 2024 to May 2025. The independent variables used in this study are the 20-day Moving Average (MA20) and the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI14), while stock price is used as the dependent variable. Multiple linear regression analysis is applied to examine the influence of the technical indicators on stock price movements. The results show that the Moving Average variable has a positive and significant effect on stock prices, with a regression coefficient of 1.007, a t-value of 215.090, and a significance level of 0.000. In contrast, the Relative Strength Index does not significantly influence stock prices, as indicated by a t-value of 0.486 and a significance level of 0.633. The simultaneous test indicates that the model is statistically significant with an F-value of 291.623. The coefficient of determination (R² = 0.999) shows that the independent variables explain 99.9% of the variation in Sharia stock prices. These findings suggest that the Moving Average indicator can serve as an effective technical analysis tool for predicting Sharia stock price trends in the Indonesian Islamic capital market.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

alkharaj

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

Al-Kharaj, Journal of Islamic Economic and Business is peer-reviewed journal published by program studi ekonomi syariah , Institut Agama Islam Negeri (IAIN) Palopo. Al-Kharaj focus on the research of Islamic Economic and Business. The aims of this journal is to explore and develop economic related ...