INAJEEE (Indonesian Journal of Electrical and Electronics Engineering)
Vol. 9 No. 1 (2026): Februari

Predictive Modeling of Electricity Load Demand Forecasting Using the CNN-BiLSTM method based on Peak Load in Household Sector Consumers

Arrahmad Budiarto (Universitas Negeri Surabaya)
Unit Three Kartini (Universitas Negeri Surabaya)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Jun 2026

Abstract

Accurate short-term electricity load forecasting is essential for ensuring reliable energymanagement and maintaining power system stability, particularly in the household sector whereelectricity consumption exhibits highly dynamic and nonlinear patterns. Conventional forecastingmethods often have limited capability in capturing these complex temporal characteristics.Therefore, this study proposes a hybrid Convolutional Neural Network–Bidirectional Long ShortTerm Memory (CNN-BiLSTM) model to forecast 24-hour ahead household electricity demand basedon peak load data collected from Mojowarno District, Jombang Regency, Indonesia. The datasetconsists of hourly electricity consumption records from January 2024 to January 2025 and waspreprocessed through smoothing, outlier handling, and normalization before model training. Theproposed model combines CNN for automatic spatial feature extraction and BiLSTM for learningbidirectional temporal dependencies. Experimental results demonstrate excellent forecastingperformance with a Test Loss of 0.0024, Test MAE of 0.0562, Test RMSE of 0.0699, MAE of 3.4146kW, RMSE of 4.2470 kW, and an R² value of 0.9889. These findings indicate that the proposed CNNBiLSTM model effectively captures household electricity consumption patterns and providesaccurate short-term peak load forecasting, making it a promising approach for supporting energymanagement and electricity distribution planning

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Journal Info

Abbrev

inajeee

Publisher

Subject

Control & Systems Engineering Electrical & Electronics Engineering Energy Engineering

Description

INAJEEE or Indonesian Journal of Electrical and Eletronics Engineering (E-ISSN 2614-2589) is a scientific peer-reviewed journal issued by The Department of Electronics, Faculty of Engineering, Universitas Negeri Surabaya (UNESA). Accepted articles will be published online and the article can be ...