JOURNAL OF BUSINESS AND ECONOMICS RESEARCH (JBE)
Vol 7 No 2 (2026): June 2026

Macroeconomic Policy Effects on Domestic Credit to the Private Sector in Developing Countries

Fitri Yulia Andini (Universitas Sultan Ageng Tirtayasa, Serang)
Deswita Herlina (Universitas Sultan Ageng Tirtayasa, Serang)
Muhammad Nasim Harahap (Universitas Sultan Ageng Tirtayasa, Serang)



Article Info

Publish Date
21 Jun 2026

Abstract

This study analyzes the effects of the federal funds rate, non-performing loans, trade openness, inflation, lending interest rates, and exchange rates on domestic credit to the private sector in 31 small open developing economies during 2010–2024 using the System Generalized Method of Moments (System GMM) approach. The results show that the federal funds rate, non-performing loans, trade openness, inflation, and lending interest rates have a significant negative effect, while the exchange rate has a significant positive effect on domestic credit to the private sector. The finding on trade openness is inconsistent with the initial hypothesis, as it shows a negative coefficient of (−0.063) in the short run and (−0.535) in the long run. The results also indicate that long-run effects are greater than short-run effects. In the long run, the exchange rate has the largest effect with a coefficient of (8.629), while in the short run it also shows the largest coefficient of (1.016). These findings highlight the importance of adaptive macroprudential policies in maintaining credit intermediation stability in developing economies.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jbe

Publisher

Subject

Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

1. Human Resource Management, 2. Financial Management, 3. Marketing Management, 4. Strategic Management, 5. Organizational Behavior, 6. Operations Management, 7. Change Management, 8. Management of Sharia, 9. Knowledge Management 10.Entrepreneurship, 11.E-Business, 12.Business Management, 13.Capital ...