Jurnal ULTIMA InfoSys
Vol 17 No 1 (2026): Ultima InfoSys : Jurnal Ilmu Sistem Informasi

Depression Risk Classification Using Machine Learning: A Model Performance Study

Marcelinus Jonathan Salim (Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember)
Tegar Anugrah Firdaus (Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember)
Carens Chanda Claudhyta Hasan (Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember)
Yuri Pamungkas (Institut Teknologi Sepuluh November)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Jun 2026

Abstract

This study presents a comparative evaluation of multiple machine learning algorithms for depression risk classification using a publicly available mental health survey dataset. Rather than predicting clinical depression, the target variable is formulated as a risk proxy derived from social weakness indicators to support screening-oriented analysis. A quantitative experimental framework is employed to compare Logistic Regression, Random Forest, Support Vector Machine, and Extreme Gradient Boosting under consistent preprocessing and data partitioning conditions. Model performance is evaluated using complementary metrics, including accuracy, recall for High-risk cases, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC-AUC). Threshold optimization based on ROC analysis is applied to align model outputs with screening objectives that prioritize sensitivity. The results demonstrate that Logistic Regression and Support Vector Machine consistently achieve superior or comparable performance across all evaluation dimensions, including high overall accuracy, near-perfect sensitivity for High-risk detection, and strong discriminative capability. In contrast, more complex ensemble and distance-based models show mixed outcomes, indicating diminishing performance gains from increased algorithmic complexity. These findings highlight that simple and interpretable models can effectively support depression risk screening using survey-based data, offering a practical balance between predictive performance, transparency, and computational efficiency.

Copyrights © 2026






Journal Info

Abbrev

SI

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT

Description

Jurnal ULTIMA InfoSys merupakan Jurnal Program Studi Sistem Informasi Universitas Multimedia Nusantara yang menyajikan artikel-artikel penelitian ilmiah dalam bidang Sistem Informasi, serta isu-isu teoritis dan praktis yang terkini, mencakup sistem basis data, sistem informasi manajemen, analisis ...