International Journal Of Computer, Network Security and Information System (IJCONSIST)
Vol 7 No 2 (2026): March

Performance Evaluation of XGBoost and Random Forest Models in Visibility Prediction at Juanda Airport

Ananda Amelia Pramaisita (UIN Sunan Ampel Surabaya)
Nurissaidah Ulinnuha (UIN Sunan Ampel Surabaya)
Yuniar Farida (UIN Sunan Ampel Surabaya)
Addien Haniefardy (Universitas Pembangunan Nasional “Veteran” Jawa Timur)



Article Info

Publish Date
01 Mar 2026

Abstract

Predicting meteorological visibility is critical in enabling transportation safety and weather watch systems. The current study compares the accuracy of the Random Forest and XGBoost algorithms in performing time series prediction for visibility based on BMKG Juanda, Sidoarjo hourly observation records for one year. Process analysis only uses visibility as a primary variable. Preprocessing of the data involved handling missing values, normalization, and dividing the data into training and test datasets. Model training and hyperparameter tuning were followed by model evaluation using a combination of MAE, RMSE, and MAPE indices. From the results, it is found that Random Forest had an MAE of 808.54, RMSE of 1,312.64, MAPE of 21.09%, and a computation time of 1.02 seconds, while XGBoost had an MAE of 808.81, RMSE of 1,323.12, MAPE of 21.47%, and a computation time of 1.36 seconds. As such, Random Forest is proposed as a more efficient model for predicting visibility at Surabaya's Juanda Airport; however, XGBoost remains a consideration for applicability when there is excessive variability in the data.

Copyrights © 2026






Journal Info

Abbrev

ijconsist

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT

Description

Focus and Scope The Journal covers the whole spectrum of intelligent informatics, which includes, but is not limited to : • Artificial Immune Systems, Ant Colonies, and Swarm Intelligence • Autonomous Agents and Multi-Agent Systems • Bayesian Networks and Probabilistic Reasoning • ...