Journal Research of Social Science, Economics, and Management
Vol. 5 No. 11 (2026): Journal Research of Social Science, Economics, and Management

The Effect of Profitability on Stock Prices with Dividend Policy as an Intervening Variable in Banking Subsector Companies Listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the 2022-2024 Period

Melda Erella (Universitas Swadaya Gunung Jati)
Maiyaliza Maiyaliza (Universitas Swadaya Gunung Jati)



Article Info

Publish Date
15 Jun 2026

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the effect of profitability on stock prices with dividend policy as an intervening variable in conventional commercial banks listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the 2022–2024 period. Profitability is proxied using Return on Assets (ROA), dividend policy is measured by the Dividend Payout Ratio (DPR), and stock prices are represented by the annual closing price. This study used an associative quantitative approach with purposive sampling and obtained 45 observational data points. The analysis method used was path analysis with the assistance of SPSS, accompanied by the classical assumption test and the Sobel test to examine the mediating effect. The results show that profitability has a significant effect on stock prices, profitability has a significant effect on dividend policy, and dividend policy has a significant effect on stock prices. In addition, the results of the Sobel test confirm that dividend policy is able to mediate the effect of profitability on stock prices. These findings strengthen Signaling Theory and Dividend Signaling Theory, demonstrating that profit information and dividend policy serve as important signals for investors in making investment decisions, as reflected in stock price movements. This research provides implications for banking management to maintain profitability stability and establish optimal dividend policies to enhance company value in the capital market.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jrssem

Publisher

Subject

Environmental Science

Description

The Journal Research of Social Science, Economics, and Management is a double-blind peer-reviewed academic journal and has open access to social and scientific fields. The journal is published monthly once by CV. Publikasi Indonesia. The Journal Research of Social Science, Economics, and Management ...