Jurnal Tata Kelola dan Akuntabilitas Keuangan Negara
Vol. 12 No. 1 (2026): JTAKEN Vol. 12 No. 1 June 2026

Budget deviation, long-term liabilities, and governance mechanisms: Assessing short-term solvency in Indonesian local governments

Abdurahman Abdurahman (The Audit Board of the Republic of Indonesia, Jambi, Indonesia)



Article Info

Publish Date
23 Jun 2026

Abstract

Recurring fiscal deficits and liquidity constraints among Indonesian local governments have raised concerns regarding short-term fiscal sustainability and governance quality. This study analyzes the impact of budget deviations and long-term liabilities on local governments’ short-term solvency, with particular attention to accountability and internal control maturity. A quantitative approach was employed to examine 170 panel data observations from 34 provinces over the period 2020–2024, using a fixed-effect model and panel-corrected standard errors. Revenue budget deviation, expenditure budget deviation, and long-term liabilities were treated as independent variables, while accountability and internal control maturity were included as control variables. The findings reveal that revenue budget deviation, expenditure budget deviation, accountability, and internal control maturity significantly influence short-term solvency, whereas long-term liabilities do not. Accordingly, budget inaccuracies undermine local governments’ financial capacity to sustain operational stability, with accountability and internal control playing crucial roles in maintaining short-term solvency. The study concludes that fiscal discipline and government control are crucial for promoting regional fiscal sustainability, with implications for governance reform to enhance governance. By integrating agency theory with public financial management frameworks, this study contributes to the literature on subnational fiscal governance and provides practical implications for improving budgeting accuracy, oversight quality, and short-term financial sustainability in decentralized governments.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

TAKEN

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences

Description

Jurnal Tata Kelola & Akuntabilitas Keuangan Negara with registered number ISSN 2460-3937 (print), ISSN 2549-452X (online) is a scientific journal published by Directorate of Research and Development, The Audit Board of Republic of Indonesia (Badan Pemeriksa Keuangan RI). This journal was first ...