Jasmine : Journal of Intelligent Systems and Machine Learning
2026: Articles in Press

Global Food Waste Prediction (2018-2024): Trend Analysis and Random Forest Regression Model Development

kemal pramayuda kemal (Sebelas April University, Sumedang)
Fidi Supriadi (Sebelas April University, Sumedang)
David Setiadi (Sebelas April University, Sumedang)



Article Info

Publish Date
14 Jul 2026

Abstract

Food waste remains a major global sustainability challenge due to its environmental, economic, and social impacts. Understanding food waste patterns and their contributing factors is essential for supporting effective mitigation strategies. This study aims to (1) investigate food waste trends and patterns through Exploratory Data Analysis (EDA) and (2) develop a predictive model for estimating total food waste using Random Forest Regression. The study utilizes a publicly available dataset containing 5,000 records from 20 countries, covering eight food categories over the period 2018–2024. The dataset includes variables such as food category, economic loss, population, average waste per capita, and household waste percentage. Exploratory analysis reveals variations in waste generation across food categories and countries, with fruits and vegetables contributing a substantial share of total waste. A Random Forest Regression model was developed and evaluated, achieving a coefficient of determination (R²) of 0.9582. In addition to predictive performance, the study highlights the importance of examining key contributing variables to better understand food waste patterns. The findings demonstrate the potential of machine learning techniques as decision-support tools for food waste analysis and management, while also acknowledging the limitations associated with secondary public datasets.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jasmine

Publisher

Subject

Description

JASMINE: Journal of Intelligent Systems and Machine Learning welcomes submissions covering a wide range of topics, including, but not limited to: Deep Learning and Pattern Analysis: Neural networks, convolutional neural networks (CNNs), recurrent neural networks (RNNs), generative adversarial ...