Eksakta : Berkala Ilmiah Bidang MIPA
Vol. 27 No. 04 (2026): Eksakta : Berkala Ilmiah Bidang MIPA (E-ISSN : 2549-7464) In Progress

Comparative Performance of Gradient Boosting Algorithms for Household Food Resilience Classification during The COVID-19

Nabila Syukri (Study Program of Statistics and Data Science, School of Data Science, Faculty of Mathematics, and Informatics, IPB University, Bogor, Indonesia)
Sachnaz Desta Oktarina (Study Program of Statistics and Data Science, School of Data Science, Faculty of Mathematics, and Informatics, IPB University, Bogor, Indonesia)
Septian Rahardiantoro (Study Program of Statistics and Data Science, School of Data Science, Faculty of Mathematics, and Informatics, IPB University, Bogor, Indonesia)



Article Info

Publish Date
22 Jul 2026

Abstract

The need for data-driven analysis to understand socio-economic vulnerability, particularly in relation to food security, has intensified due to the pandemic. The growing volume of survey data demands analytical methods that can capture multidimensional relationships. Over time, food security evolves into the concept of food resilience, reflecting a household's capacity to withstand or recover from adverse conditions. This study uses machine learning techniques to categorize household food resilience, based on data from the World Bank's High Frequency Phone Survey (HFPS), covered 2,868 households in Indonesia. A comparative evaluation of gradient boosting algorithms (XGBoost, LightGBM and CatBoost) was conducted. Model performance was evaluated using accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and AUC across ten repeated train-test splits, with statistical significance assessed using Friedman and Wilcoxon tests. The results show that CatBoost performed best and most consistently, achieving mean accuracy of 0.7592 and mean AUC of 0.8331, which is significantly higher than that of competing models. SHAP analysis further indicates that baseline vulnerability, financial concerns, income capacity, food price shocks and unmet healthcare needs are important features for identifying resilient households. These findings demonstrate that gradient boosting, particularly CatBoost, provides strong predictive power and interpretability to support data-driven decision-making in classifying food resilience.

Copyrights © 2026






Journal Info

Abbrev

eksakta

Publisher

Subject

Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Astronomy Biochemistry, Genetics & Molecular Biology Chemical Engineering, Chemistry & Bioengineering Chemistry Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Computer Science & IT Energy Engineering Environmental Science Materials Science & Nanotechnology Mathematics Mechanical Engineering

Description

Eksakta : Berkala Ilmiah Bidang MIPA (E-ISSN : 2549-7464) is an open access journal and peer-reviewed that publishes either original article or reviews. The journal is dedicated towards dissemination of knowledge related to the advancement in scientific research. The prestigious interdisciplinary ...