Automotive Experiences
Vol. 9 No. 2 (2026): Issue in Progress

Pathways to Electric Two-Wheeler Adoption in Emerging Markets: A Scoping Review and Empirical Validation of Consumer Behaviour

Agus Hindarto Wibowo (Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember, Indonesia)
Moses Laksono Singgih (Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember, Indonesia)
Budisantoso Wirjodirdjo (Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember, Indonesia)



Article Info

Publish Date
19 Jul 2026

Abstract

The electrification of two-wheelers (E2Ws) is increasingly recognised as a high-impact decarbonisation strategy in emerging Asian markets, where motorcycles are the dominant mode of transport. However, the literature remains fragmented, and behavioural studies consistently report a persistent gap between stated adoption intentions and actual purchase behaviour. This study provides a robust empirical proxy to address these limitations through a two-phase hybrid approach: a Scoping Review and Bibliometric Analysis (ScoRBA) of 278 Scopus-indexed articles, synthesised using the PAGER framework, followed by empirical validation via a multi-model machine learning approach applied to a stated-preference dataset of 6,040 respondents from Solo, Indonesia. Bibliometric mapping identified three core socio-technical research clusters. The empirical analysis revealed a finding that departs substantially from prevailing assumptions: Perceived E-bike Quality, not financial incentives or operational costs, emerged as the dominant predictor of adoption. While initially identified via a baseline Decision Tree, this dominance was robustly validated across advanced ensemble algorithms and confirmed via SHAP analysis (Mean |SHAP Value| = 17.88%). Correctly situated within the Technology Perception dimension of the Technology Acceptance Model (TAM), this variable's dominance implies a sequential cognitive architecture: technology credibility must be established before economic evaluation becomes relevant. Consequently, policymakers in similar motorcycle-dominated transitional markets should prioritise quality certification and demonstration programmes before deploying purchase subsidies at scale.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

AutomotiveExperiences

Publisher

Subject

Aerospace Engineering Automotive Engineering Chemical Engineering, Chemistry & Bioengineering Control & Systems Engineering Electrical & Electronics Engineering Energy Materials Science & Nanotechnology Mechanical Engineering

Description

Automotive experiences invite researchers to contribute ideas on the main scope of Emerging automotive technology and environmental issues; Efficiency (fuel, thermal and mechanical); Vehicle safety and driving comfort; Automotive industry and supporting materials; Vehicle maintenance and technical ...