Journal of Economics and Business Aseanomics
Vol. 10 No. 2 (2025): JULI-DESEMBER 2025

Exploring the Relationship Between Unemployment Rate and Economic Growth in the Philippines

Arangel Dua (University of Southeastern Philippines)
Karen Mae R Tabigue (Unknown)
Karl P. Campos (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
07 Jul 2026

Abstract

This study examines the relationship between unemployment and economic growth, controlling for government expenditure, inflation, population growth, and investment. Using time series techniques such as the Augmented Dickey-Fuller test, Johansen cointegration, Vector Error Correction Models (VECM), and Granger causality tests, the analysis reveals that unemployment does not have a significant short-term effect on GDP growth. However, a significant long-term relationship exists, consistent with Okun’s Law, which describes an inverse connection between unemployment and economic growth. The findings suggest that while short-term fluctuations in unemployment may not immediately impact economic performance, sustained changes in unemployment influence long-term growth patterns. Additionally, government expenditure and investment play important roles in shaping economic outcomes, while inflation appears less influential in this context. The study highlights the importance of focusing on long-term labor market improvements as a key driver of economic growth and provides valuable insights for policymakers seeking to foster stable growth and employment.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jeba

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

JEBA merupakan jurnal yang diterbitkan oleh Sekolah Pasca Sarjana Universitas YARSI (SPSUY). Jurnal ini diterbitkan secara bekala sebagai wadah untuk mengkomunikasikan hasil-hasil penelitian konsep dan empiris di bidang ekonomi dan keuangan serta memberikan perhatian yang besar kepada pengembangan ...