Science, Technology, and Communication Journal
Vol. 6 No. 3 (2026): SINTECHCOM Journal (June 2026)

Robust cryptocurrency price forecasting using a Bayesian-optimized CNN–LSTM hybrid model

Abdul Aziz Sulton (Department of Informatics Engineering, UIN Sultan Syarif Kasim Riau, Pekanbaru 28293, Indonesia)
Fitri Insani (Department of Informatics Engineering, UIN Sultan Syarif Kasim Riau, Pekanbaru 28293, Indonesia)
Okfalisa Okfalisa (Department of Informatics Engineering, UIN Sultan Syarif Kasim Riau, Pekanbaru 28293, Indonesia)
Lestari Handayani (Department of Informatics Engineering, UIN Sultan Syarif Kasim Riau, Pekanbaru 28293, Indonesia)
Nazruddin Safaat Harahap (Department of Informatics Engineering, UIN Sultan Syarif Kasim Riau, Pekanbaru 28293, Indonesia)



Article Info

Publish Date
09 Jun 2026

Abstract

The rapid growth of cryptocurrency has caused the price movements of digital assets such as Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) to become highly volatile and difficult to predict. This study aims to develop a cryptocurrency price prediction model using a hybrid convolutional neural network–long short-term memory (CNN-LSTM) architecture optimized with Bayesian Optimization. The data used in this study consisted of daily historical data for Bitcoin and Ethereum from January 1, 2018, to December 31, 2025, obtained from Yahoo Finance. The research stages included data preprocessing, normalization using Min-Max Scaling, sequence generation using the sliding window method (window sizes of 30, 60, and 90), CNN-LSTM model development, hyperparameter optimization using Bayesian Optimization (30, 50, and 100 trials), and evaluation using regression metrics including MSE, RMSE, MAE, MAPE, and R2. The results showed that the hybrid CNN-LSTM model outperformed the standalone CNN and LSTM models, with RMSE reductions of 27% – 59% for BTC and 18% – 19% for ETH. For Bitcoin data, the best model was obtained using 30 trials with a window size of 30, achieving an RMSE of $2,588.33, MAE of $2,004.23, MAPE of 1.99%, and R2 of 0.9468. Meanwhile, for Ethereum data, the best model was obtained using 50 trials with a window size of 60, achieving an RMSE of $138.56, MAE of $99.75, MAPE of 3.27%, and R2 of 0.9737. These results indicate that the combination of CNN-LSTM and Bayesian Optimization is effective for predicting cryptocurrency prices with non-linear and volatile characteristics.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

stc

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Electrical & Electronics Engineering Engineering Materials Science & Nanotechnology

Description

Sintechcom is a periodical publication that publishes scientific articles on research results in the fields of Basic Science, Engineering, and Telecommunications. Scopes of journal are: Chemistry and Chemical Engineering; Physics, Material Sciences, and Mechanical Engineering; Biology, Biological ...