TELKOMNIKA (Telecommunication Computing Electronics and Control)
Vol 22, No 5: October 2024

MDI and PI XGBoost regression-based methods: regional best pricing prediction for logistics services

Agus Purnomo (Universitas Logistik dan Bisnis Internasional)
Aji Gautama Putrada (Telkom University)
Roni Habibi (Universitas Logistik dan Bisnis Internasional)
Syafrianita Syafrianita (Universitas Logistik dan Bisnis Internasional)



Article Info

Publish Date
26 May 2024

Abstract

The logistics industry in Indonesia, with PT Pos Indonesia as the dominant player, is confronted with intense price competition. The challenge lies in establishing the most favorable price for regional logistics services in every region, with the aim of gaining a competitive edge and augmenting revenue. This intricate task encompasses local market conditions, competition, customer preferences, operational costs, and economic factors. To address this complexity, this study proposes the utilization of machine learning for price prediction. The price prediction model devised incorporates the extreme gradient boosting regression (XGBR), support vector machine (SVM), random forest, and logistics regression algorithms. This research contributes to the field by employing mean decrease in impurity (MDI) and permutation importance (PI) to elucidate how machine learning models facilitate optimal price predictions. The findings of this study can assist company management in enhancing their comprehension of how to make informed pricing decisions. The test results demonstrate values of 0.001, 0.005, 0.458, 0.009, and 0.9998. By employing machine learning techniques and explanatory models, PT Pos Indonesia can more accurately determine optimal prices in each region, bolster profits, and effectively compete in the expanding regional market.

Copyrights © 2024






Journal Info

Abbrev

TELKOMNIKA

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT

Description

Submitted papers are evaluated by anonymous referees by single blind peer review for contribution, originality, relevance, and presentation. The Editor shall inform you of the results of the review as soon as possible, hopefully in 10 weeks. Please notice that because of the great number of ...