Malcom: Indonesian Journal of Machine Learning and Computer Science
Vol. 6 No. 2 (2026): MALCOM April 2026

Predicting Students’ Mathematics Scores from Reading Scores Using Supervised Learning

Nofita Fitriyani (Telkom University Purwokerto)



Article Info

Publish Date
18 Apr 2026

Abstract

This study aims to predict students’ mathematics scores based on their reading scores using a supervised learning approach. The dataset used is from Students' Performance in Exams (Kaggle), consisting of 1,000 student records, and was analyzed using Microsoft Excel and Google Colaboratory. The data was divided into training and test data with a ratio of 80:20. The research stages included descriptive statistical analysis, data visualization, Pearson correlation testing, linear regression model development, and model performance evaluation using Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), and coefficient of determination (R²).  Prior to modeling, regression assumptions including linearity, normality of residuals, and homoscedasticity were examined to ensure model validity. The results showed a strong positive relationship between reading and math scores with a correlation coefficient of 0.818. The linear regression model produced an MAE of 7.281, an RMSE of 8.818, and an R² of 0.680. Decision Tree Regressor was selected as a comparison model because it represents a non-linear and non-parametric supervised learning approach commonly used in educational data mining. This study contributes to educational data mining literature by demonstrating that interpretable regression models explain significant mathematics achievement variance, rivaling the performance of non-linear alternatives.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

malcom

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT

Description

MALCOM: Indonesian Journal of Machine Learning and Computer Science is a scientific journal published by the Institut Riset dan Publikasi Indonesia (IRPI) in collaboration with several Universities throughout Riau and Indonesia. MALCOM will be published 2 (two) times a year, April and October, each ...