SRIWIJAYA INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DYNAMIC ECONOMICS AND BUSINESS
SIJDEB, Vol. 10, No. 1, March 2026

Energy Consumption, Exports, Foreign Direct Investment, and Economic Growth in ASEAN-5: The Mediating Role of Greenhouse Gas Emissions

Bahrul Ulum Rusydi (Economics Department, Faculty of Islamic Economics and Business, UIN Alauddin Makassar)
Baso Iwang (Economics Department, Faculty of Islamic Economics and Business, UIN Alauddin Makassar)
Radiatul Adwia (Economics Department, Faculty of Islamic Economics and Business, UIN Alauddin Makassar)



Article Info

Publish Date
01 Aug 2026

Abstract

This study examines how greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions mediate the relationships between per capita energy consumption, exports, foreign direct investment (FDI), and economic growth in the ASEAN-5 economies. A panel of Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand from 1991 to 2023 is estimated using two linked panel-regression equations. Estimator selection follows the Chow and Hausman tests, and indirect effects are evaluated using the Sobel product-of-coefficients test. The results show that per capita energy consumption and FDI significantly increase GHG emissions, whereas exports reduce them. In the growth equation, energy consumption and exports have negative direct associations at the 10 percent level, FDI has a positive association at the 5 percent level, and GHG emissions have a negative association at the 5 percent level. All three indirect effects are statistically significant, the emission channel reinforces the negative relationship between energy and growth, offsets part of the negative relationship between exports and growth, and reduces the positive contribution of FDI to growth. The study's main contribution is to demonstrate that a common environmental mediator operates differently across major growth drivers. The findings support ASEAN strategies centered on energy productivity, low-carbon export upgrading, green-FDI screening, and interoperable regional carbon-management frameworks.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

SIJDEB

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

The SIJDEB invites manuscripts in the various topics include, but not limited to functional areas of Financial Management, Marketing Management, Human Resource Management, Entrepreneurship, Strategic Management, Public Economics, Monetary Economics, Industrial Economics, Human Resource Economics, ...