Management Analysis Journal
Vol. 13 No. 2 (2024): Management Analysis Journal

Probabilistic Prediction of the Financial Performance of Conventional and Islamic Banks During the Covid-19 Pandemic

Nurma Waddah (Departement of Management, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia)
Moh. Khoiruddin (Departement of Management, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Jun 2024

Abstract

This study aims to predict the probability of achieving the financial performance of conventional and Islamic banks listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange during the Covid-19 pandemic. This study uses Return on Assets (ROA) as the dependent variable, E-Banking implementation variables; FinTech growth, GDP growth; inflation; interest rates; Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR), Non Performing Loan (NPL) and Non Performing Financing (NPF); Operating Expenses to Operating Income (BOPO) as independent variables. This study uses correlational research with a quantitative approach. The research sample consists of 47 banks listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange, with 43 banks operating conventionally and 4 banks operating sharia. Documentation and literature study methods were used to collect data which were then analyzed using logistic regression. The results showed that the variables that are able to predict the probability of ROA occurrence in conventional banking are the application of E-Banking, NPL (n) and BOPO, while in Islamic banking the variables of FinTech growth, Inflation and BOPO are variables that are able to predict the probability of ROA occurrence.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

maj

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

Management Analysis Journal (MAJ), provides a forum for the full range of scholarly study of the language and ...