Golden Ratio of Finance Management
Vol. 6 No. 2 (2026): April - September

Commodity Price Returns and Energy Sector Stock Returns: Evidence from Indonesia

Wiwin Eni Sulistiandari (Universitas Tarumanagara)
Henny Wirianata (Universitas Tarumanagara)



Article Info

Publish Date
27 Jul 2026

Abstract

Global commodity price fluctuations have become an important factor influencing the performance of the energy sector in capital markets. This study aims to examine the effects of world oil price returns, world gold price returns, and world coal price returns on energy sector stock returns on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) during the 2021–2025 period. The study employs secondary daily data from 27 main board energy sector companies listed on the IDX, selected using a purposive sampling method. The data were analyzed using Ordinary Least Squares (OLS), while Vector Autoregression (VAR) and the Granger Causality Test were employed as complementary analytical methods. The results indicate that world oil price returns and world coal price returns have positive and significant effects on energy sector stock returns, whereas world gold price returns do not have a significant effect. These findings suggest that global energy commodities, particularly oil and coal, play a more influential role than gold in explaining energy sector stock returns in Indonesia. The study provides practical implications for investors by highlighting the importance of monitoring global commodity price movements in investment decision-making. In addition, it contributes empirical evidence to the growing literature on the relationship between commodity price returns and energy sector stock returns in emerging markets.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

grfm

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

Golden Ratio of Finance Management (GRFM) encourages courageous and bold new ideas, focusing on contribution, theoretical, managerial, and social life implications. Golden Ratio of Finance Management (GRFM) welcomes papers that are based on human resources management for example: Accounting and ...