Jurnal Paradigma Ekonomika
Vol. 20 No. 4 (2025): Jurnal Paradigma Ekonomika

Determinan permintaan kredit konsumsi pada bank umum sebelum dan setelah pandemi di Indonesia

Fadila, Indah (Unknown)
Nurjanah, Rahma (Unknown)
Vyn Amzar, Yohanes (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Dec 2025

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the influence of the BI-Rate, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), and economic expectations (proxied by the Consumer Confidence Index/CCI) on the demand for consumer credit at commercial banks in Indonesia during and after the Covid-19 pandemic. The data used are quarterly secondary data from the 2018–2024 period, analyzed using the Error Correction Model (ECM) approach to examine both short-term and long-term relationships among variables. The results show that in the long term, the BI-Rate has a negative significant effect, GDP has a positive and significant effect, while CCI has a negative and insignificant effect on consumer credit demand. In the short term, only the BI-Rate has a positive and significant effect, whereas GDP and CCI do not show significant effects. These findings indicate that interest rates play a dominant role in directly influencing consumer credit demand in the short term, while economic growth demonstrates a more substantial impact in the long term. Meanwhile, consumer economic expectations, as reflected by the CCI, have not been proven to significantly influence consumer borrowing decisions.

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