Economic and Business Horizon
Vol. 5 No. 4 (2026): July

The Effect of Local Own-Source Revenue, General Allocation Funds, Budget Surplus/Deficit, and Capital Expenditure on Regional Loans

Destira Prawinda (Politeknik Negeri Sriwijaya, Indonesia)
Kartika Rachma Sari (Politeknik Negeri Sriwijaya, Indonesia)
Siska Aprianti (Politeknik Negeri Sriwijaya, Indonesia)



Article Info

Publish Date
25 Jul 2026

Abstract

Regional loans play an important role in supporting regional development when local fiscal resources are insufficient. However, previous studies have reported inconsistent findings regarding the fiscal factors influencing regional loans. This study investigates the effects of local own-source revenue, the general allocation fund, budget surplus/deficit, and capital expenditure on regional loans in Indonesia. A quantitative approach was employed using balanced panel data from 17 provinces during 2020–2024 (85 province-year observations). Secondary data obtained from the audited Regional Government Financial Statements were analyzed using panel data regression with the Random Effect Model (REM) in EViews 13. The results indicate that local own-source revenue, budget surplus/deficit, and capital expenditure positively and significantly affect regional loans, whereas the general allocation fund has no significant effect. Simultaneously, all variables significantly influence regional loans. These findings suggest that regional loan decisions are primarily driven by fiscal capacity, budget conditions, and investment needs, providing updated evidence to support more effective regional fiscal management. The findings also provide practical implications for policymakers in formulating sustainable regional loan strategies while strengthening fiscal capacity and supporting long-term regional development.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

ebh

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

Economic and Business Horizon (EBH) is an open access journal that publishes multidisciplinary economic and business research in an inclusive scope and format. It allows academics, scholars, and researchers with different backgrounds to share useful research results in the fields of management, ...