The Journal of Enhanced Studies in Informatics and Computer Applications
Vol. 3 No. 1 (2026): JESICA Vol. 3 No. 1 2026

Stock Forecasting using Daily Sales Transaction at Hundred Smoke Outlets with the Trend Moment Method

Aditya Prakasa (Software Engineering Department, Malang National Institute of Technology, Indonesia)
Sentot Achmadi (Software Engineering Department, Malang National Institute of Technology, Indonesia)
Joseph Dedy Irawan (Software Engineering Department, Malang National Institute of Technology, Indonesia)



Article Info

Publish Date
27 Feb 2026

Abstract

Hundred Smoke Outlet is a culinary business experiencing fluctuating customer demand that changes weekly, creating a risk of imbalance between raw material inventory and actual needs. This research aims to develop a web-based forecasting system using the Trend Moment method that processes daily sales data and converts it into a Bill of Materials (BOM) structure to more accurately predict raw material requirements. The system is designed with two user types: admin and staff, who can manage sales data, inventory, and run the forecasting process. Based on black-box testing results for 11 scenarios across various system features, all functions performed as expected with a 100% success rate. Forecast accuracy was evaluated using the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), which showed a maximum error of 0.50, a minimum error of 0, and an average error of 22.62%. These results indicate that the system can provide a fairly good level of accuracy in supporting raw material requirement planning.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jesica

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT

Description

Journal of Enhanced Studies in Informatics and Computer Applications (JESICA) is an international peer-reviewed journal that aims to provide the best analysis and discussion to its readers in the development scope of Data Science, Software Engineering, Computer Applications, Health Informatics, and ...