Jurnal Krisnadana
Vol 5 No 2 (2026): Jurnal Krisnadana- January 2026

A Data-Driven LSTM Framework for Stock Price Forecasting to Support Investment Decision-Making

Yeffriansjah Salim (Program Studi Sistem Informasi, STMIK Indonesia, Banjarmasin, Indonesia)
Muhammad Amin Paris (Program Studi Pendidikan Matematika, UIN Antasari, Banjarmasin, Indonesia)
Darmansyah Tjitradi (Program Studi Teknik Sipil, Universitas Lambung Mangkurat, Banjarmasin, Indonesia)
Eliatun Eliatun (Program Studi Teknik Sipil, Universitas Lambung Mangkurat, Banjarmasin, Indonesia)
Erna Herliani (Program Studi Administrasi Bisnis, ASMI Citra Nusantara, Banjarmasin, Indonesia)



Article Info

Publish Date
21 Jan 2026

Abstract

Stock investment decisions in emerging markets are often hindered by high volatility and non-linear price patterns. Conventional statistical methods frequently fail to capture the long-term dependencies inherent in financial time series data. This study proposes a data-driven forecasting framework using Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) optimized with Hyperparameter Grid Search to predict the closing prices of Indonesia's top capitalization banking stocks: BBCA, BBNI, and BMRI. The methodology involves comprehensive data preprocessing, including MinMax normalization and an 80:20 train-test split, followed by a rigorous hyperparameter tuning process to determine the optimal epochs and batch sizes. The model's performance was evaluated using Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). The results demonstrate that the proposed LSTM framework achieves high forecasting accuracy. Specifically, the model yielded a MAPE of 0.99% for BBCA, 1.35% for BBNI, and 1.38% for BMRI, indicating a very low error rate. These findings confirm that the optimized LSTM model can effectively capture dynamic market trends, providing investors and portfolio managers with a reliable decision support tool for strategic asset allocation.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jkdn

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering

Description

Jurnal Krisnadana merupakan jurnal yang dapat menjadi wadah bagi civitas akademika dan kalangan profesional dalam mempublikasikan karya ilmiah ataupun hasil penelitiannya dengan tetap mengutamakan orisinalitas karya, pengembangan kelimuan dan kontribusi dalam berbagai bidang. Jurnal Krisnadana ...