Jurnal Comparative : Ekonomi Dan Bisnis
Vol. 8 No. 1 (2026): February

DE JURE OR DE FACTO CENTRAL BANK INDEPENDENCE? WHAT TRULY CURBS INFLATION IN MOROCCO: EVIDENCE FROM BANK AL-MAGHRIB

Youssef Ibnouzahir (Hassan II University of Casablanca, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, Mohammedia, Morocco)
Ahmed Hefnaoui (Hassan II University of Casablanca, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, Mohammedia, Morocco)



Article Info

Publish Date
28 Feb 2026

Abstract

Amid increasing concerns about inflationary pressures and institutional reforms in emerging economies, understanding the effectiveness of central bank independence has become particularly crucial. This study aims to evaluate the extent to which de jure and de facto central bank independence contribute to inflation control in Morocco, with particular emphasis on the roles of legal autonomy and governor stability in shaping monetary outcomes. Using annual data from 1988 to 2024, de jure independence is measured using a PCA-based synthetic index, while de facto independence is proxied by governor turnover. The relationship between independence and money supply growth, used as an indirect channel of inflation, is examined using an Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model to capture both short and long-run dynamics. The findings reveal a long-run cointegrating relationship among money supply, legal independence, and turnover. De jure independence significantly reduces long-run monetary expansion, whereas governor turnover affects only short-run monetary tightening. By jointly examining legal and actual independence using a composite index and updated data, this study provides new empirical evidence for Morocco and offers policy-relevant insights for emerging economies seeking sustained monetary discipline.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jceb

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

Jurnal Comparative: Ekonomi Dan Bisnis merupakan sarana bagi para penulis dan dosen untuk melaksanakan salah satu tridarma perguruan tinggi yaitu penelitian. Jurnal ilmiah ini untuk membantu para dosen Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis baik program studi manajemen dan akuntansi serta dosen pada umumnya ...