RABIT: Jurnal Teknologi dan Sistem Informasi Univrab
Vol 11 No 2 (2026): Juli

COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF PERFORMANCE EVALUATION FOR STROKE RISK PREDICTION BASED ON CLINICAL DATA

Alya Masitha (Program Studi Rekayasa Perangkat Lunak, Institut Teknologi Statistika dan Bisnis Muhammadiyah Semarang)
Hamid Muhammad Jumasa (Program Studi Teknologi Informasi, Universitas Muhammadiyah Purworejo)
Wellie Sulistijanti (Program Studi Statistika, Institut Teknologi Statistika dan Bisnis Muhammadiyah Semarang)
Kresna Ardy Bayuaji (Program Studi Rekayasa Perangkat Lunak, Institut Teknologi Statistika dan Bisnis Muhammadiyah Semarang)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Jul 2026

Abstract

Stroke is one of the leading causes of death and disability worldwide, requiring an accurate machine learning-based risk prediction approach to support early detection. This study aims to conduct a comparative evaluation of three supervised learning algorithms, namely Naïve Bayes, Random Forest, and SVM, in predicting stroke risk. The clinical dataset used consisted of 5,110 patients. Model evaluation was performed using the Stratified 5-Fold Cross Validation method, a cross-validation technique that divides the data into five subsets while maintaining the class proportions in each fold. Each subset is alternately used as test data, while the other subset is used as training data, so that all data can be used as training data and test data. Model performance was measured using accuracy, confusion matrix, and AUC-ROC metrics to assess classification performance. The results showed that Random Forest achieved the best performance with an accuracy of 95%, followed by Naïve Bayes at 86% and SVM at 75%. Based on the AUC-ROC evaluation, Random Forest also showed the most optimal performance with a value of 0.80, indicating excellent classification ability. Random Forest is the most effective algorithm in predicting stroke risk in the dataset used, so it has the potential to be the best method used to support the early stroke detection system.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

rabit

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Engineering

Description

This journal is called RABIT, where the name comes from two words namely, RAB which means Abdurrab University and IT which means information technology, it can be interpreted as a journal of this journal Journal of Informatics Engineering Study Program Pekanbaru Abdurrab University. This RABIT ...