IIJSE
Vol 9 No 2 (2026): Sharia Economics

JCI Under Macroeconomic Pressure: The Moderating Role of Interest Rates on Inflation and Exchange Rates

Irma Nur Halimah (Universitas Muhammadiyah Tangerang, Banten, Indonesia)
Sustari Alamsyah (Universitas Muhammadiyah Tangerang, Banten, Indonesia)
Dhea Zatira (Universitas Muhammadiyah Tangerang, Banten, Indonesia)



Article Info

Publish Date
06 Jun 2026

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the effect of inflation, exchange rates, and interest rates on the Jakarta Composite Index (JCI), as well as to examine the role of interest rates as a moderating variable in these relationships. This research employs monthly time-series data from 2020-2024 obtained from the Indonesia Stock Exchange and Bank Indonesia. The analytical methods used include multiple linear regression and Moderated Regression Analysis (MRA). The results indicate that inflation, exchange rates, and interest rates individually have a significant effect on the JCI. However, the moderation test reveals that interest rates are not able to significantly strengthen or weaken the relationship between inflation and exchange rates with the JCI. These findings suggest that the Indonesian capital market is more responsive to direct macroeconomic variables rather than the interaction effects among them. This study contributes to the literature on stock market behavior in emerging markets and provides insights for investors and policymakers in responding to global economic volatility.

Copyrights © 2026






Journal Info

Abbrev

iijse

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

The Indonesian Interdisciplinary Journal of Sharia Economics (IIJSE) is Sharia Economics Journal published by Sharia Economics Department Institut Pesantren KH. Abdul Chalim, Mojokerto. The Journal focuses on the issues of Sharia Economics, the History of Islamic Economic Thought, Islamic Law, Local ...