INTERACTION Communication Studies Journal
Vol. 3 No. 1 (2026): May

Time Series Analysis of Impact of Money Supply on Iraqi Gross Domestic Product from 1990 to 2022 Using ARDL Model

Dorgham Mohammed Abdel Wahab (Misan University)
Hayder Sami Alwan (Misan University)
Maan Abood Ali (Misan University)



Article Info

Publish Date
22 Jun 2026

Abstract

This research interests in investigating a relationship between money supply and gross domestic product , based on official statistics released by Central Statistical Organization through above-mentioned time. These data analyzed using EViews 13 program by using ARDL model, as it is suitable for this sample size and integration properties of variables. The findingss appered positively and statistically significant relationship between monetary supply and GDP in short time. Stationarity of time series was tested using the ADF, indicating stationarity of both money supply and GDP at first difference, explaining both of them are integrated of order one, I(1). Graphical diagram also illustrated overall ascending trend in time series of both variables. However, results of Bounds Test indicated absence of a long-term balance between research variables, as calculated F-statistic (2.19) was smaller than lower bound critical value at 5% significance level. Furthermore, diagnostic examines confirmed the stability of model parameters and absence of autocorrelation and heteroskedasticity problems. Error correction term was negatively and statistically significant, indicating presence of short-term adjustment method.

Copyrights © 2026






Journal Info

Abbrev

interaction

Publisher

Subject

Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Social Sciences

Description

The scope of INTERACTION: Communication Studies Journal, provides a forum for original articles, articles and books from academics, analysts, consultants and interested parties to provide study literature related to communication science for all aspects. Scientific articles related to Mass ...