Indatu Journal of Management and Accounting
Vol. 4 No. 2 (2026): December 2026 (In Press)

A Comparative Analysis of Financial Distress Prediction Model Accuracy in the Textile and Garment Subsector Listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange

Nadia Safa Shabira (Department of Management, Faculty of Economy, Gunadarma University, Depok 16424, Indonesia)
Euphrasia Susy Suhendra (Department of Management, Faculty of Economy, Gunadarma University, Depok 16424, Indonesia)



Article Info

Publish Date
05 Jul 2026

Abstract

This study aims to identify the potential for financial distress and compare the predictive accuracy of the Springate, Ohlson, Zmijewski, and Grover models in textile and garment subsector companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) during the 2019–2024 period. Financial distress prediction is important as an early warning tool that enables companies, investors, and other stakeholders to anticipate financial difficulties and make appropriate strategic decisions. This study applies a descriptive quantitative approach using secondary data obtained from annual financial statements. The sample was selected through purposive sampling, resulting in 7 companies and 42 observations. The analysis includes model score calculations, descriptive statistics, normality testing, the Kruskal–Wallis test, and accuracy and error testing. The results indicate that the four models produce different financial distress classifications. The Kruskal–Wallis test generated a significance value of less than 0.001, confirming significant differences among the prediction results of the models. The Springate model achieved the highest accuracy rate of 83%, followed by the Zmijewski and Grover models at 69%, while the Ohlson model recorded the lowest accuracy rate of 45%. These findings suggest that the predictive performance of financial distress models varies depending on the characteristics of the sample and industry. Therefore, the Springate model can be considered the most appropriate and reliable model for predicting financial distress in textile and garment companies listed on IDX.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

ijma

Publisher

Subject

Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences Other

Description

Indatu Journal of Management and Accounting (IJMA) is a leading international scholarly publication that presents original research papers and comprehensive review articles within the field of management and accounting. IJMA maintains a resolute dedication to achieving exceptional standards, ...