Journal Neosantara Hybrid Learning
Vol. 3 No. 4 (2025)

THE USE OF PREDICTIVE ANALYTICS AND AI FOR EARLY INTERVENTION WITH AT-RISK STUDENTS IN A LARGE-SCALE HYBRID LEARNING MODEL

Carissa Ien (Nauru University)
Jordan Oson (Nauru College)
Elizabeth Aiton (University of the South Pacific)



Article Info

Publish Date
16 Aug 2025

Abstract

The rapid growth of large-scale hybrid learning environments has increased the need for data-driven approaches to identify and support at-risk students before disengagement or dropout occurs. Many institutions struggle to respond proactively due to the absence of predictive mechanisms that translate real-time learning data into actionable interventions. This study investigates the use of predictive analytics and artificial intelligence (AI) for early identification and intervention among at-risk students within a large-scale hybrid university program. The research aims to evaluate how machine learning models can detect behavioral and academic risk patterns and how these predictions can inform timely academic support strategies. A quantitative predictive research design was employed using secondary data from the university’s learning management system (LMS) and student information records. Data from 5,000 hybrid learners were analyzed using regression-based predictive models and supervised machine learning algorithms, including random forest and logistic regression, to determine key predictors of risk. Validation was conducted through cross-validation and accuracy metrics. The results revealed that engagement frequency, assessment completion rate, and login regularity were the strongest predictors of student risk, with predictive accuracy reaching 89%. Early interventions informed by predictive insights such as personalized feedback and AI-assisted tutoring led to a 23% reduction in course withdrawal rates. The study concludes that predictive analytics and AI can significantly enhance institutional capacity for proactive intervention in hybrid education. The integration of automated early-warning systems represents a transformative approach to promoting equity, retention, and personalized learning support at scale

Copyrights © 2025






Journal Info

Abbrev

jnhl

Publisher

Subject

Description

Journal Neosantara Hybrid Learning provides pedagogical, learning and educational perspectives on topics relevant to the study, implementation and management of e-learning initiatives. Journal Neosantara Hybrid Learning has published regular issues since 2023 and averages 3 issues a year. In 2025, ...