Instal : Jurnal Komputer
Vol 18 No 06 (2026): Instal : Jurnal Komputer

Integration of FP-Growth Algorithm with XGBoost and SHAP to Predict Consumer Product Sales Patterns at CV. Mitra Ridge

Syaiful Rahman Lubis (Universitas Pembangunan Panca Budi)
Muhammad Syahputra Novelan (Universitas Pembangunan Panca Budi)
Muhammad Iqbal (Universitas Pembangunan Panca Budi)



Article Info

Publish Date
05 Aug 2026

Abstract

This study aims to develop an integrative model based on data mining and machine learning to analyze purchasing patterns and predict consumer product sales at CV. Mitra Ridge. The approach used combines the FP-Growth algorithm to discover product association patterns (frequent itemsets and association rules), XGBoost as a gradient boosting-based sales prediction model, and SHAP (SHapley Additive Explanations) to provide transparent interpretability of the model's prediction results. The data used is sales transaction data from October 2024 to September 2025, which includes 500 transactions with various types of consumer products. The results show that the integration of association pattern features from FP-Growth as additional input to the XGBoost model can improve prediction accuracy compared to a single XGBoost model without integration. SHAP analysis revealed that purchase frequency, product category, and product combination patterns are the most influential factors in sales prediction. This integrative model is proven to be superior in performance and provides deeper business insights, so it can be used as an operational decision support system in stock management, bundling strategies, and data-driven marketing planning in consumer retail companies.  

Copyrights © 2026






Journal Info

Abbrev

Instal

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management

Description

Focus And Scope Instal : Jurnal Komputer is a peer-reviewed scientific journal published by CV. Cattleya Darmaya Fortuna which has been published since 2009. The aim of this journal is to publish high-quality articles dedicated to all aspects of the latest outstanding developments in the field of ...