Journal of Engineering and Technological Sciences
Vol. 58 No. 5 (2026): Vol. 58 No. 5(2026): October

Probabilistic vs Deterministic Foundation Design: Impact of PDA and SLT Data on Required Safety Factor in an Indonesian Project Case Study

Andreas Setiawan (Faculty of Civil and Enviromental Engineering, Institut Teknologi Bandung, Jalan Ganesa 10, Bandung 40132, Indonesia)
Endra Susila (Faculty of Civil and Enviromental Engineering, Institut Teknologi Bandung, Jalan Ganesa 10, Bandung 40132, Indonesia)
Indra Djati Sidi (Faculty of Civil and Enviromental Engineering, Institut Teknologi Bandung, Jalan Ganesa 10, Bandung 40132, Indonesia)
Rio Leandro (Faculty of Civil and Enviromental Engineering, Institut Teknologi Bandung, Jalan Ganesa 10, Bandung 40132, Indonesia)



Article Info

Publish Date
15 Aug 2026

Abstract

Foundation design using the Allowable Stress Design (ASD) method is characterized by less consistent reliability that is difficult to quantify, leading to overly conservative or optimistic design. Therefore, this study aimed to implement the Reliability-Based Design (RBD) method in foundation design to achieve consistent reliability levels and evaluate the equivalent safety factor generated. The design process was initially conducted based on API method and updated using field test data, namely the Pile Driving Analyzer (PDA) and Static Load Test (SLT). Statistical parameter updating was performed using a statistical analysis through the Bayesian updating method. The results showed that RBD method was capable of explicitly quantifying uncertainties. Furthermore, the availability of more and higher-quality data contributed to a more accurate representation of uncertainty, causing a greater reduction in the required equivalent factor of safety. This showed that the probabilistic method enabled the application of a lower safety factor compared to the conservative value of approximately 2.5 commonly adopted in ASD, without compromising the target reliability. Through the addition of data from PDA and SLT testing, this study showed that the RBD method could significantly reduce the required safety factor to a value of 1.68.

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Aerospace Engineering Automotive Engineering Chemical Engineering, Chemistry & Bioengineering Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Electrical & Electronics Engineering

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ournal of Engineering and Technological Sciences welcomes full research articles in: General Engineering Earth-Surface Processes Materials Science Environmental Science Mechanical Engineering Chemical Engineering Civil and Structural Engineering Authors are invited to submit articles that have not ...