Pendas : Jurnah Ilmiah Pendidikan Dasar
Vol. 11 No. 03 (2026): Volume 11 Nomor 03, September 2026 Verified

PENGARUH SUKU BUNGA BANK INDONESIA, JUMLAH UANG BEREDAR (M2), DAN HARGA MINYAK DUNIA TERHADAP INFLASI DI INDONESIA PERIODE 2014-2025

Wahyu Mustiko Sejati (Unknown)
Kiki Asmara (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
27 Jul 2026

Abstract

This study analyzes the effect of Bank Indonesia's policy interest rate, broad money supply (M2), and world oil price on inflation in Indonesia for the period 2014-2025. Using multiple linear regression with Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) method, the findings reveal that simultaneously, all three variables significantly affect inflation (F = 9.509, sig = 0.005). Partially, the interest rate variable does not significantly affect inflation (sig = 0.920), while money supply (M2) significantly and negatively affects inflation (sig = 0.014), and world oil price significantly and positively affects inflation (sig = 0.004). The model explains 78.1% of the variation in inflation (R² = 0.781). These results suggest that inflation in Indonesia is more dominantly influenced by external factors such as world oil prices and monetary liquidity conditions rather than interest rate policy alone. Keywords: Inflation, Interest Rate, Money Supply (M2), World Oil Price, OLS

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pendas

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Pendas : Jurnah Ilmiah Pendidikan Dasar is a journal published twice a year, namely in June and December that aims to be a forum for scientific publications to pour ideas and studies complemented with the results of research related to primary school education. To achieve this, basic education ...