Pena Justisia: Media Komunikasi dan Kajian Hukum
Vol. 25 No. 1 (2026): Pena Justisia

Does Earmarking Tobacco Excise Revenue Sharing Fund (DBHCHT) Strengthen Illegal Cigarette Enforcement in East Java? An Interrupted Time Series Evaluation

Berlian Yoga Ardana (University of Brawijaya, Ministry of Finance)
Candra Fajri Ananda (Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Brawijaya, Jl. Veteran No.10-11 Kota Malang)
Nugroho Suryo Bintoro (Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Brawijaya, Jl. Veteran No.10-11 Kota Malang)



Article Info

Publish Date
21 Jun 2026

Abstract

The circulation of illegal cigarettes harms various sectors, including state revenue, industry, and health, so its eradication requires adequate funding support. This study assesses the impact of the DBH CHT earmarking policy since 2021 on strengthening the enforcement of illegal cigarettes in East Java, the largest recipient of the allocation in Indonesia. This research employs a quantitative approach, utilizing the Interrupted Time Series (ITS) method, and examines data on the frequency of illegal cigarette enforcement over 13 years (2012–2024). The analysis was conducted at fourteen Customs Offices in East Java Province, which coordinate with local governments receiving DBH CHT. The results showed that, prior to the 2021 intervention, the frequency of enforcement against illegal cigarettes increased significantly from year to year. Post-intervention, there was a significant spike in enforcement frequency at a rate of 10%, although it had not yet reached the significance of 5%. Meanwhile, no significant change in long-term trends was observed. The impact of the DBH CHT earmarking policy intervention in the enforcement of illegal cigarettes has not been able to strengthen the government's efforts, so it is necessary to improve the technical aspects of policy implementation, take advantage of learnings from the experience of managing "supervision funds", and adopt more diverse supervisory strategies.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

hk

Publisher

Subject

Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice

Description

Pena Justisia aims to provide a forum for lecturers and researchers to publish the original articles about Law Science. Focus of Pena Justisia is publishing the manuscript of outcome study, and conceptual ideas which specific in the sector of Law science. We are interested in topics which relate ...