Journal of Economics Research and Policy Studies
Vol. 6 No. 2 (2026): Journal of Economics Research and Policy Studies

Kinerja pasar saham ASEAN: Peran makroekonomi dan kualitas institusi

Azlim Azlim (Universiats Abulyatama)
Rizal Ansari (Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis, Universitas Abulyatama)
Cut Delsie Hasrina (Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis, Universitas Abulyatama)
Yuni Ayu Safitri (Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis, Universitas Abulyatama)
Isthafan Najmi (Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis, Universitas Abulyatama)



Article Info

Publish Date
31 Aug 2026

Abstract

This study analyzes the effects of economic growth, monetary policy, and exchange rates on stock market performance and examines the moderating role of institutional quality in ASEAN countries. This study uses panel data and applies the Panel Autoregressive Distributed Lag (Panel ARDL) approach to identify short-run and long-run relationships. The results show that in both the short and long term, economic growth and the exchange rate have a positive and significant effect on stock market performance. In contrast, monetary policy has a negative and significant effect, with a stronger impact in the long term. Institutional quality significantly moderates these relationships. However, the direction varies across time periods: in the short run, institutional quality amplifies the positive effects of economic growth and the exchange rate while also amplifying the negative effect of monetary policy; in the long run, institutional quality actually weakens the effects of economic growth and monetary policy but continues to amplify the effect of the exchange rate. This study provides policy recommendations to strengthen institutional governance and macroeconomic stability in the ASEAN countries covered in this study to support sustainable stock market growth.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jerps

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

Journal of Economics Research and Policy Studies [2797-8141] is a scientific journal that contains the results of theoretical research and studies on economics issues. The focus of this journal article is Economics, Economic Entrepreneurship, and start-up, development economics, monetary and fiscal ...