IAES International Journal of Artificial Intelligence (IJ-AI)
Vol 15, No 4: August 2026

Forecasting income inequality in Vietnam’s regions using machine learning

T. Thai-Phuong (Industrial University of Ho Chi Minh City)
L. Nguyen-Son (Industrial University of Ho Chi Minh City)



Article Info

Publish Date
01 Aug 2026

Abstract

This study applies artificial neural networks (ANN) and support vector regression (SVR) to forecast the Gini coefficient across Vietnam’s seven socio-economic regions using limited data from 2014–2022 (N = 63). Despite the small dataset, robust techniques including repeated cross-validation, temporal backtesting, regularization, and bootstrapping were employed to mitigate overfitting. The results show a modest continued decline in income inequality through 2025, with faster improvements in urban regions (Red River Delta and Southeast) than in rural and highland areas. ANN outperformed SVR with an average cross-validation coefficient of determination (R²) of 0.93. The novelty lies in its granular regional forecasting and region-specific policy recommendations beyond national-level analyses. Key drivers—per capita income and simple housing—support targeted interventions such as housing credits in the Mekong River Delta and agricultural investments in the Central Highlands. The findings provide an evidence-based foundation for regionally tailored strategies to reduce income disparities in Vietnam.

Copyrights © 2026






Journal Info

Abbrev

IJAI

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Engineering

Description

IAES International Journal of Artificial Intelligence (IJ-AI) publishes articles in the field of artificial intelligence (AI). The scope covers all artificial intelligence area and its application in the following topics: neural networks; fuzzy logic; simulated biological evolution algorithms (like ...