Business, Economics and Entrepreneurship
Vol 8 No 2 (2026): Business, Economics and Entrepreneurship

Analisis Valuasi PT PP London Sumatra Indonesia Tbk Menggunakan Metode Discounted Cash Flow, Dividend Discount Model, Dan Multipel Historis

Teddy Rianto L. Gaol (Universitas Satu)
Arina Azwani (Universitas Satu)
Risma Carla Lydia Pascasia (Universitas Satu)
Fennika Ayu Lestari (Universitas Satu)
Sy. Ilham Zultami (Universitas Satu)
Erwin Febriansyah (Universitas Satu)



Article Info

Publish Date
24 Aug 2026

Abstract

This study estimates the intrinsic value of PT PP London Sumatra Indonesia Tbk (LSIP) shares using discounted cash flow (DCF), a dividend discount model (DDM), and historical multiples. The three-model approach is used because plantation earnings are exposed to commodity-price cycles, while LSIP holds substantial net cash and maintains a relatively conservative payout ratio. The data comprise consolidated financial statements for 2020–2025, 72 monthly observations of LSIP and Jakarta Composite Index prices, dividend data, and the yield on a one-year Indonesian government bond. The estimation produces an ordinary least squares (OLS) beta of 1.210 and a 12.95% cost of equity and weighted average cost of capital (WACC). To avoid treating the unusually high 2025 cash flow arising from a working-capital release as recurring, free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) is normalized at the 22.98% historical median margin. The estimated values per share are IDR3,308 under DCF, IDR672.70 under a constant-growth DDM, and IDR1,636 using historical price-to-book value (PBV) and price-to-earnings ratio (PER) multiples. The equal-weight estimate of IDR1,872.22 is 56.7% above the 2025 year-end price of IDR1,195. Differences across the models show that LSIP's value depends not only on cash-generating capacity but also on management's decision to distribute or productively reinvest retained cash.

Copyrights © 2026






Journal Info

Abbrev

bee

Publisher

Subject

Humanities Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

Journal Business, Economics, and Entrepreneurship (BEE) (registration number/ISSN:2656-9469) peer-reviewed journal published twice a year in March and September by Entrepreneurship program of Sekolah Tinggi Ilmu Manajemen (STIM) Shanti Bhuana. This journal publishes the conceptual and empirical ...