UNP Journal of Statistics and Data Science
Vol. 4 No. 3 (2026): UNP Journal of Statistics and Data Science

Extended Cox Model for Analyzing Factors Influencing Time to First Employment After Graduation in West Sumatra

M. Anfasa Prana Karil (Universitas Negeri Padang)
Zilrahmi (Universitas Negeri Padang)
Rita Diana (BPS Sumatera Barat)
Tessy Octavia Mukhti (Universitas Negeri Padang)
Dina Fitria (Universitas Negeri Padang)
Retno Lis Megawati (BPS Sumatera Barat)



Article Info

Publish Date
31 Aug 2026

Abstract

The transition from education to employment has become one of the employment challenges in West Sumatra Province. This study aims to analyze the factors affecting the duration of obtaining a first job using the Extended Cox Proportional Hazard model. The data used were obtained from the August 2025 National Labor Force Survey (Sakernas) with variables including age, gender, educational attainment, regional classification, training, and work experience. The results show that age, educational attainment, and regional classification significantly affect the duration of obtaining a first job. Age has a positive effect that decreases over time, while higher educational attainment tends to increase job waiting time. Individuals living in rural areas tend to obtain jobs faster than those in urban areas. Meanwhile, gender and work experience are not significant, whereas training is significant through its interaction with time. Overall, the duration of obtaining a first job is influenced by individual factors, regional characteristics, and time-varying effects of the variables

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Journal Info

Abbrev

ujsds

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Mathematics Social Sciences

Description

UNP Journal of Statistics and Data Science is an open access journal (e-journal) launched in 2022 by Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Negeri Padang. UJSDS publishes scientific articles on various aspects related to Statistics, Data Science, and its ...