Jurnal Riset dan Aplikasi Mahasiswa Informatika (JRAMI)
Vol. 7 No. 01 (2026): Jurnal Riset dan Aplikasi Mahasiswa Informatika (JRAMI)

Analisis Prediktif Dropout Mahasiswa Berdasarkan Kinerja Akademik Semester Awal Menggunakan Machine Learning

Putu Satya Saputra (Politeknik Negeri Bali)



Article Info

Publish Date
15 Jan 2026

Abstract

Student dropout is a critical issue in higher education. This study aims to develop a predictive model of dropout based on early academic performance using Random Forest and Gradient Boosting algorithms. The dataset, sourced from the UCI Repository, contains 4,424 student records. Key features analyzed include the number of enrolled courses, evaluations, average grades, and enrollment age. Results show that the Gradient Boosting algorithm achieved 70.05% accuracy, while Random Forest reached 70.16%, both performing best in classifying graduates. The model successfully identifies high-risk students, although challenges remain in predicting “enrolled” status. These findings highlight the potential of machine learning for early dropout detection and support more targeted academic interventions.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jrami

Publisher

Subject

Description

JRAMI merupakan media publikasi online khusus bagi mahasiswa/i baik didalam Program Studi Informatika, Fakultas Teknik dan Ilmu Komputer, Universitas Indraprasta PGRI ataupun luar institusi. Setiap mahasiswa/i yang memiliki hasil riset dari PKM (Program Kreatifitas Mahasiswa) dan atau Tugas Akhir ...