Wiga : Jurnal Penelitian Ilmu Ekonomi
Vol. 16 No. 2 (2026): September 2026

Determination of the Human Development Index in Regencies/Cities of East Java Province for 2019–2023 Through a Static Model Approach

Zahratun Nufus (Universitas Sultan Ageng Tirtayasa)
Irfan Nur Hidayat (Universitas Sultan Ageng Tirtayasa)
Umarhariyadi Umarhariyadi (Universitas Sultan Ageng Tirtayasa)



Article Info

Publish Date
01 Sep 2026

Abstract

This research examines how life expectancy, the poverty headcount, labor force participation, and regional economic output shape the Human Development Index (HDI) across East Java's regencies and cities between 2019 and 2023. Panel data techniques were applied, with the Fixed Effects Model chosen after Chow and Hausman testing confirmed it as the best fit for capturing both cross-regional and time-based variation. Three of the four predictors life expectancy, poverty levels, and regional GDP were found to positively and significantly shape HDI outcomes, whereas labor force participation showed a positive direction without reaching statistical significance. This limited influence likely stems from East Java's labor market being heavily concentrated in informal, low-productivity work, compounded by uneven access to quality employment across the province. Collectively, the four variables account for a striking 99.90% of HDI variation (R² = 0.9990), underscoring the model's strong explanatory power. The evidence points to health, economic hardship, employment structure, and growth as core levers for human development progress. Policy efforts in East Java should therefore center on strengthening human capital, revitalizing productive sectors, and closing regional development gaps.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

wiga

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences

Description

Wiga : Jurnal Penelitian Ilmu Ekonomi is published twice a year in March and September, published by Sekolah Tinggi Ilmu Ekonomi Widya Gama since March 2011. Wiga : Jurnal Penelitian Ilmu Ekonomi is intended as a forum for publishing scientific articles in the field of economics : Accounting, ...