IAES International Journal of Artificial Intelligence (IJ-AI)
Vol 15, No 5: October 2026

Interpretable machine learning framework for congestive heart failure risk prediction

Sakchai Tangprasert (King Mongkut'
s University of Technology North Bangkok)

Nalinpat Bhumpenpein (King Mongkut'
s University of Technology North Bangkok)

Siranee Nuchitprasitchai (King Mongkut'
s University of Technology North Bangkok)

Yuenyong Nilsiam (King Mongkut'
s University of Technology North Bangkok)



Article Info

Publish Date
01 Oct 2026

Abstract

Congestive heart failure (CHF) is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide and is influenced by multiple clinical risk factors, including age, sex, blood pressure, cholesterol levels, and electrocardiographic characteristics. This study employs publicly available heart disease datasets compiled from populations in Cleveland, Hungary, Switzerland, and Long Beach repositories (2015–2020) and analyzes 11 predictor attributes and one binary outcome using the cross-industry standard process for data mining (CRISP-DM) framework. Four supervised machine learning (ML) models—decision tree, random forest, gradient boosted trees, and naïve Bayes—were developed and evaluated using confusion matrix–based performance metrics, with results showing that the decision tree model offers balanced predictive performance and clear interpretability, making it suitable for heart failure risk prediction. The findings demonstrate the potential of ML approaches to support clinical risk assessment and enhance decision-making in heart failure management.

Copyrights © 2026






Journal Info

Abbrev

IJAI

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Engineering

Description

IAES International Journal of Artificial Intelligence (IJ-AI) publishes articles in the field of artificial intelligence (AI). The scope covers all artificial intelligence area and its application in the following topics: neural networks; fuzzy logic; simulated biological evolution algorithms (like ...