The agricultural sector is important to the Indonesian economy. But it is confronting major regeneration challenges, with an aging farmer population and a lack of interest from the younger generation, who tend to shy away from the risks of farming. This study aims to identify the risk faced by young farmers in rice farming, the effect of risk factors and behavior on the decision to work in the agricultural sector, and the dynamics of the effect of risk on farming behavior. The descriptive approach is used to explain the finding, the coefficient of variation (CV) is used to determine the risk profile, and structural equation modeling—partial least square (SEM-PLS) is used to analyze the effect of risk variables and farming behavior on career selection in the framework of the theory of planned behavior (TPB). Data were collected from 105 young farmers, aged between 19 and 39 years. The results indicate that young farmers have a low farm risk profile. Risk and behavioral variables significantly predict career choice. The effect of risk on behavior is small. This confirms that career decisions are chiefly motivated by the TPB constructs of internal commitment, self-efficacy, and social support, which serve as a buffer against external threats. Ultimately, strong commitment and ability to do a job are the drivers for career choice, despite awareness of the risks. Therefore, policies should aim at psychological stimulation and targeted risk mitigation to ensure the sustainability of the agricultural profession.
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