EKONOMIS : Journal of Economics and Business
Vol 10, No 2 (2026): September

Risiko dan Return Emas vs IHSG: Strategi Investasi di Tengah Ketidakpastian Ekonomi

Choirus Saadah (Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis, Universitas Negeri Malang)
Santi Merlinda (Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis, Universitas Negeri Malang)



Article Info

Publish Date
22 Sep 2026

Abstract

This study examines differences in realized returns and risk between Antam gold and the Jakarta Composite Index (IHSG) from April 2022 to April 2025, a period associated with rising economic uncertainty. A quantitative comparative design is employed using secondary closing-price data. Daily prices are converted into monthly average closing prices, yielding 37 observations for each instrument. Returns are calculated from month-to-month price changes, while risk is measured as monthly volatility. After the Shapiro–Wilk and Levene tests indicate that parametric assumptions are not met, differences are tested using the Mann-Whitney procedure. The results show significant differences in returns ( ) and risk ( ). Gold’s average monthly return is 1.80 percent, higher than the IHSG’s −0.13 percent, whereas the IHSG exhibits higher average risk than gold. The findings support gold’s defensive profile in the sample period, but they are period-specific and do not establish gold as a safe haven in the technical sense. The implication is that gold and the IHSG should not be treated as perfect substitutes in allocation decisions during uncertainty of this kind.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

ojsekonomis

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

Ekonomis: Journal of Economics and Business diterbitkan oleh Lembaga Penelitian dan Pengabdian pada Masyarakat Universitas Batanghari Jambi, Jurnal ini mencakup bidang ilmu Ekonomi Manajemen, Ekonomi Pembangunan, Akuntansi dan Bisnis. Ekonomis: Journal of Economics and Business Jurnal ini ...