ETIKONOMI
Vol. 25 No. 2 (2026)

Navigating Climate Risks in the Livestock Sector: Environmental Resources, Production Sustainability, and Food Security in Pakistan

Gulalai (University of Peshawar)
Nazish Kanval (International Islamic University Islambad)
Hajra Ihsan (2 International Islamic Institute of Economics, International Islamic University Islamabad)



Article Info

Publish Date
28 Sep 2026

Abstract

Research Originality: This study offers a comprehensive empirical analysis of temperature, heat stress, and flood shocks, alongside environmental and socioeconomic factors, to analyze livestock production dynamics, sustainability, and food security in Pakistan. Research Objectives: The study investigates the short- and long-run effects of climate stressors and adaptive resource factors on livestock output, linking production to sustainable food systems and food security. Research Method: Annual time-series data from 1980 to 2022 were analyzed for Pakistan’s livestock sector. The Auto-Regressive Dependent Lag model and bounds-testing approach were applied to estimate both short- and long-run relationships. Empirical Results: Rising temperatures and heat stress significantly reduce livestock output, while floods cause short-run disruptions by damaging grazing systems and feed supply. Water availability, forest cover, and cropped land positively influence production. The error-correction coefficient indicates that approximately 68% of short-term disequilibrium adjusts toward long-run equilibrium annually. Implications: These findings highlight the need for climate-resilient livestock management, including heat-stress mitigation, flood preparedness, water and land-use management, and crop-livestock integration, supporting Sustainable Development Goals 2 (Zero Hunger) and 13 (Climate Action) by enhancing food security and strengthening rural livelihoods in Pakistan. JEL Classification: Q01, Q18, Q54, C32

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Journal Info

Abbrev

etikonomi

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

Etikonomi is a peer-reviewed journal on Economics, Business and Management by Faculty of Economic and Business State Islamic University (UIN) Syarif Hidayatullah Jakarta. FOCUS This journal focused on economics, business, and management studies and present developments through the publication of ...