Forum Geografi
Vol. 41 No. 1 (2027): April 2027

Understanding the Spatial Distribution and Environmental Drivers of Kingfishers (Alcedinidae) Through the Species Distribution Modeling Approach

Nirmala Ayu Aryanti (Forestry Faculty, Universitas Gadjah Mada, Yogyakarta
Forestry Study Program of the Agriculture and Animal Husbandry Faculty, University of Muhammadiyah Malang, Malang City)

Satyawan Pudyatmoko (Forestry Faculty, Universitas Gadjah Mada, Yogyakarta)
Riri Wiyanti Retnaningtyas (Birdpacker Indonesia, Bumiaji, Kota Batu, East Java)
Muhammad Tafrichan (Yayasan Jawi (Javan Wildlife Institute), Gedongkiwo MJ.I/848, Mantrijeron, Yogyakarta)
Ign. Pramana Yuda (Biology Department, Biotechnology Faculty, Universitas Atma Jaya, Yogyakarta)
Muhammad Ali Imron (Forestry Faculty, Universitas Gadjah Mada, Yogyakarta)



Article Info

Publish Date
06 Jul 2026

Abstract

Accurate prediction of species distribution is crucial for biodiversity conservation, particularly amid widespread habitat loss. As one of the largest islands and heavily developed landmasses in the Indonesian archipelago, Java is facing rapid habitat deterioration due to environmental changes. While most studies have historically focused on the protection species within protected areas, species distribution outside protected areas remain largely understudied. Consequently, metrics of citizen science are necessary to quantify the contemporary requirements of species, and to predict their potential distributions. We therefore developed habitat suitability models for nine species of the kingfishers (family Alcedinidae) distributed broadly across Java. Each model evaluates species occurrence data derived from citizen science platforms. Species distribution models of each species were constructed using bioclimatic, physiographic, and hydrologic variables through the random forest machine learning model. The models showed moderate to high predictive performance, with AUC-ROC values ranging from 0.75–0.93 and cross-validated AUC values ranging from 0.74 to 0.92, indicating reliable discrimination ability across species. Annual rainfall, elevation, vegetation, and proximity to water bodies are key factors influencing the distribution of kingfishers. The study highlights that potential habitats for all the studied species are located across Java, extending beyond protected forest areas to most other types of land uses. Conservation efforts should focus on preserving critical habitat features and implementing landscape-level management strategies, particularly for endemic and rare species.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

fg

Publisher

Subject

Earth & Planetary Sciences

Description

Aim Forum Geografi is an open-access, peer-reviewed journal dedicated to advancing the field of geography by publishing original scientific articles on spatial issues. The journal prioritizes studies that employ rigorous spatial analysis and geospatial technologies—such as GIS and remote ...