Jurnal Humaniora : Jurnal Ilmu Sosial, Ekonomi dan Hukum
Vol. 10 No. 1 (2026): April 2026

The Effect of Population and Poverty Rate on Economic Growth in the Regencies/Cities of Aceh Province

Hayatun Magfirah (Universitas Abulyatama)
Yuliana (Universitas Abulyatama)
Edi Saputra (Universitas Abulyatama)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Apr 2026

Abstract

This study analyzes the effect of population size and the poverty rate on the economic growth rate of the regencies/cities in Aceh Province, Indonesia. The study used panel data combining time-series and cross-sectional data for the 23 regencies/cities in Aceh Province over the period 2019–2023 (115 observations), obtained from Statistics Indonesia (BPS) of Aceh Province. The data were analyzed using panel data regression, and the best model was selected using the Chow, Hausman, and Lagrange Multiplier tests. The results show that the Fixed Effect Model is the most appropriate model. Population has a positive and significant effect on economic growth (coefficient 0.048845; p = 0.0000), and the poverty rate also has a positive and significant association with economic growth (coefficient 0.111714; p = 0.0000). Simultaneously, population and the poverty rate have a significant effect on economic growth (F-statistic 11.79192; p = 0.0000). The coefficient of determination (R²) is 0.758717, meaning that the model explains about 75.9% of the variation in economic growth, while the remaining 24.1% is explained by other variables outside the model. The positive association between poverty and growth indicates that growth in Aceh has not yet been sufficiently pro-poor. The study recommends improving the quality of the productive-age population and focusing poverty alleviation on productive employment and economic empowerment. Further research should include other determinants of growth, such as investment, human development, and fiscal transfers.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

humaniora

Publisher

Subject

Humanities Economics, Econometrics & Finance Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Social Sciences

Description

Focusing on culture, economy, and law because it is seen from the perspective of Indonesia, especially in Aceh. The humanities journal provides a platform for case studies and analysis, publishing articles that are useful for people and advancing humanities studies. Issues are published two times ...