Jurnal Informatika
Vol. 13 No. 2 (2026): October

Agroindustry Supply Chain Optimization Using Machine Learning Based Demand Prediction and Genetic Algorithms

Baidawi, Taufik (Unknown)
Kamil, Anton Abdulbasah (Unknown)
Kuswara, Heri (Unknown)
Sundari, Jenie (Unknown)
Fauziah, Sifa (Unknown)
Napiah, Musriatun (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
28 Oct 2026

Abstract

Demand uncertainty and the perishable nature of products present major challenges in agro-industrial supply chain management, frequently leading to inflated operational costs due to stock accumulation or missed sales opportunities. This study proposes a hybrid approach that integrates deep learning and meta-heuristic methods to address these issues. Specifically, a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model is employed to forecast stochastic demand, the outputs of which are subsequently fed into a Genetic Algorithm (GA) to determine optimal order quantities. A case study was conducted using sales data for red chili commodities. The empirical results demonstrate that the LSTM model predicts demand with high precision, yielding a Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 8.5%, which significantly outperforms the conventional ARIMA method. Furthermore, integrating these predictions into the GA optimization model successfully minimizes the total supply chain cost by 25.0% compared to the traditional Economic Order Quantity (EOQ) approach. The most substantial cost reduction was observed in shortage costs, which decreased by 84.0%, indicating the model's efficacy in preventing stockout events. This research contributes an adaptive decision-making framework to enhance logistics efficiency in the agro-industry.

Copyrights © 2026






Journal Info

Abbrev

ji

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT

Description

Jurnal Informatika first publication in 2014 (ISSN: e. 2528-2247 p. 2355-6579) is scientific journal research in Informatics Engineering, Informatics Management, and Information Systems, published by Universitas Bina Sarana Informatika which the articles were never published online or in print. The ...