International Journal of Informatics and Communication Technology (IJ-ICT)
Vol 15, No 4: December 2026

New prediction model for school dropout based on an improvement of SVM and ABC optimization algorithm

Hicham EL Yousfi Alaoui (Sidi Mohamed Ben Abdellah University)
Ziad Bousraraf (Sidi Mohamed Ben Abdellah University)
Amal Hjouji (Sidi Mohamed Ben Abdellah University)
Omar EL Ogri (Chouaib Doukkali University)
Jaouad EL-Mekkaoui (Sidi Mohamed Ben Abdellah University)
Zaynab Hjouji (Sidi Mohamed Ben Abdellah University)



Article Info

Publish Date
01 Dec 2026

Abstract

School dropout is a major dare for Moroccan education systems. It generates profound repercussions, both socially and economically, affecting both individuals and the entire community. To assess the risks associated with this phenomenon, it is essential to use innovative technologies, relying in particular on statistical methods and artificial intelligence models capable of providing effective results using available data. These methods offer the possibility of identifying the factors influencing the educational phenomenon and anticipating the associated risks. To understand the effect of scholars’ social, economic, and personal influences on school dropout, we propose in this work a new classifier, based on an improvement of support vector machines (SVM) and on the ABC algorithm. We also present a regression model designed to estimate academic performance based on the average grade obtained. We also propose a new regression model to predict the degree of academic achievement. The proposed model was validated on a real dataset, compiled from a questionnaire distributed to Moroccan secondary school students. Furthermore, several comparative studies were conducted with recent approaches to assess the performance of the proposed methods. All the experimental results confirm the robustness and improved performance of the developed methods, particularly with respect to accuracy and predictive capability.

Copyrights © 2026






Journal Info

Abbrev

IJICT

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT

Description

International Journal of Informatics and Communication Technology (IJ-ICT) is a common platform for publishing quality research paper as well as other intellectual outputs. This Journal is published by Institute of Advanced Engineering and Science (IAES) whose aims is to promote the dissemination of ...