Prosiding Seminar Nasional Official Statistics
Vol 2026 No 1 (2026): Seminar Nasional Official Statistics 2026

Analisis Deret Waktu Penginderaan Jauh Sentinel-2 untuk Pemantauan Fase Tumbuh dan Estimasi Luas Panen Padi

M. Naufal Zamani (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
03 Nov 2026

Abstract

Climate uncertainty demands rapid and adaptive agricultural statistics. This study aims to analyze the trend alignment of Sentinel-2 time-series based on Google Earth Engine (GEE) in monitoring growth phases and estimating rice harvested area in Lombok Island in 2025 to strengthen official statistics. A monthly rice phenology analysis method was developed using NDVI and LSWI spectral indices, then validated against NTB Province BPS KSA data. The satellite estimation recorded a harvested area of 112,343 Ha, showing a systematic underestimation of 28.93% compared to the KSA BPS data (158,069 Ha) due to mixed pixels and cloud cover. Despite the absolute area bias, statistical validation indicated highly synchronized monthly trends with a Pearson correlation (r) of 0.9950 (p < 0.0001) and an RMSE of 5,769.96 Ha. It is concluded that this spatial data science application is reliable in detecting temporal harvest trends and holds potential as a complement to official agricultural statistics.

Copyrights © 2026






Journal Info

Abbrev

semnasoffstat

Publisher

Subject

Humanities Computer Science & IT Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences

Description

prosiding seminar ini bertujuan untuk menghasilkan berbagai pemikiran solutif, inovatif, dan adaptif terkait isu, strategi, dan metode yang memanfaatkan official ...