Prosiding Seminar Nasional Official Statistics
Vol 2026 No 1 (2026): Seminar Nasional Official Statistics 2026

Analisis Spasio-temporal Fenomena Urban Heat Island di DKI Jakarta Menggunakan Time Series Clustering

Solideo Gracio Bangun (Politeknik Statistika STIS)
Bony Parulian Josaphat (Politeknik Statistika STIS)



Article Info

Publish Date
03 Nov 2026

Abstract

Rapid urbanization has intensified the Urban Heat Island (UHI) phenomenon in megapolitan areas. DKI Jakarta, one of the world’s most densely populated megacities, faces increasing thermal pressure due to extensive impervious surfaces and limited green space. This study aims to classify areas in DKI Jakarta based on similarities in Land Surface Temperature (LST) patterns and evaluate clustering performance in explaining UHI dynamics. MODIS-derived LST data from 2009 to 2024 were analyzed using K-Means with Euclidean distance, Dynamic Time Warping (DTW), and K-Shape. Cluster quality was evaluated using WCSS, Silhouette Score, Davies-Bouldin Index, and Dunn Index. K-Means with Euclidean distance and four clusters produced the best performance. The resulting clusters represented different urbanization-related thermal characteristics, with central and northern Jakarta exhibiting the highest LST. Surface UHI analysis showed that 91.9% of urban areas experienced moderate to extreme intensity, indicating that urban densification is a major driver of increasing surface temperatures.

Copyrights © 2026






Journal Info

Abbrev

semnasoffstat

Publisher

Subject

Humanities Computer Science & IT Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences

Description

prosiding seminar ini bertujuan untuk menghasilkan berbagai pemikiran solutif, inovatif, dan adaptif terkait isu, strategi, dan metode yang memanfaatkan official ...